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Commodity Futures Funds

 

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Commodity Futures are attractive as diversifiers: they tend to have stock-like returns, but are uncorrelated with other asset classes.  In fact, Commodity Futures is the best diversifier known to us.  For more information about Commodity Futures, see here.

There are several very similar investment options available.  Which is best?

All of the options discussed here will likely have very similar performance and will get the job done quite well.  You can't go far wrong choosing any of the options listed here.  The funds are listed in rough overall order of preference.

Preferences are listed separately for use in retirement accounts and for taxable accounts.

For a listing of our preferences in other asset classes, see here.

Retirement Accounts (i.e., tax-deferred or tax-exempt accounts)

bulletPIMCO CommodityRealReturn Strategy Fund Institutional Shares (PCRIX).  E/R: 0.74%.  Basically, this fund invests in futures derivatives designed to track the Dow Jones - UBS Commodities Index Excess Return.  It invests enough in these futures to simulate full investment in Commodities.  A smaller portion of the portfolio is set aside as collateral.  The remaining cash is invested in TIPS.  We like this fund both because it indexes the commodities portion of its investments and because it has the lowest expense ratio of any alternatives.  This fund charges a 2% redemption fee, payable to the fund, if you sell within 30 days of purchasing.  This is intended to be a disincentive to use the fund for short-term trading.  Our preference for PCRIX over DBC is not a strong one.

bulletPowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC).  E/R: 0.83%.  This Exchange-Traded fund invests in commodities futures in its attempt to track the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index – Optimum Yield Diversified Excess Return, a custom commodity index created by Deutsche Bank.  It invests the collateral in short-term bonds.  For more information on ETFs, see here.  Our preference for DBC over GSG is not a strong one.
 
bulletiShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG).  E/R: 0.75%.  Basically, this ETF is designed to track the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index - Total Return Index.  It invests enough in CERFs (i.e., futures designed to track the GSCI - Excess Return Index) to simulate full investment in Commodities.  A smaller portion of the portfolio is set aside as collateral.  The remaining cash is presumedly invested in short-term bonds.  We like this fund both because it indexes the commodities portion of its investments and because it has a very low expense ratio.  We don't like that it tracks the GSCI instead of the DJ-UBSCI (the GSCI is HEAVILY weighted in energy -- basically, the GSCI is largely a play on energy futures -- the DJ-UBSCI is much more broadly diversified across various commodity classes).  For more information on ETFs, see here.

bulletHarbor Commodity Real Return Strategy Fund Institutional Shares (HACMX).  E/R: 0.94%.  This fund is designed like PCRIX above, only it is newer and more expensive.  We see no reason to buy it, given the above less costly alternatives.  Interestingly, this fund is also managed by PIMCO.
 
bulletGreenhaven Continuous Commodity Index Fund (GCC).  E/R: 0.85%.  This ETF is designed to track the Reuters Continuous Commodity Index Total Return (CCI-TR).  This index equal-weights each of 17 commodities.  The fund invests in futures and treasuries as necessary to emulate the target index.  This fund is relatively new (started in January 2008) and the fund company is relatively new.  We are concerned that the expenses for this fund may end up being quite high, as the fund company doesn't plan on absorbing any expenses.  For more information on ETFs, see here.

bulletCredit Suisse Commodity Return Strategy Fund A (CRSAX).  E/R: 0.95%.  This fund follows a similar strategy as PCRIX above, investing in futures derivatives designed to track the DJ-UBSCI, but it invests the collateral in short-term Treasury bonds instead of TIPS.    With the availability of the above less expensive alternatives, we see no reason to consider this fund.  If you did consider this fund, only buy it if you can get the load waived.  There exists a less expensive no-load share class of this fund (CRSOX; E/R: 0.7%), but it is closed to new investors.
 
bulletUBS E-TRACS Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return ETN (DJCI).  E/R: 0.50%.  This is an Exchange Traded Note (ETN).  An ETN is similar to an ETF (for more information on ETFs, see here) in that it attempts to track an index and is traded on an exchange.  HOWEVER, it is a bond which is backed only by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which in this case is UBS AG.  As such, we judge that it has unacceptable credit risk, regardless of the financial soundness of the issuer (i.e., the credit risk, however small, is unacceptably high given that it is totally undiversified).
 
bulletUBS E-TRACS Constant Maturity Commodity Index Total Return ETN (UCI).  E/R: 0.65%.  This is an Exchange Traded Note (ETN).  An ETN is similar to an ETF (for more information on ETFs, see here) in that it attempts to track an index and is traded on an exchange.  HOWEVER, it is a bond which is backed only by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which in this case is UBS AG.  As such, we judge that it has unacceptable credit risk, regardless of the financial soundness of the issuer (i.e., the credit risk, however small, is unacceptably high given that it is totally undiversified).
 
bulletiPath Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return ETN (DJP).  E/R: 0.75%.  This is an Exchange Traded Note (ETN).  An ETN is similar to an ETF (for more information on ETFs, see here) in that it attempts to track an index and is traded on an exchange.  HOWEVER, it is a bond which is backed only by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which in this case is Barclay's Bank PLC.  As such, we judge that it has unacceptable credit risk, regardless of the financial soundness of the issuer (i.e., the credit risk, however small, is unacceptably high given that it is totally undiversified).
 
bulletiPath GSCI Total Return Index ETN (GSP).  E/R: 0.75%.  This is an Exchange Traded Note (ETN).  An ETN is similar to an ETF (for more information on ETFs, see here) in that it attempts to track an index and is traded on an exchange.  HOWEVER, it is a bond which is backed only by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which in this case is Barclay's Bank PLC.  As such, we judge that it has unacceptable credit risk, regardless of the financial soundness of the issuer (i.e., the credit risk, however small, is unacceptably high given that it is totally undiversified).
 
bulletELEMENTS Rogers International Commodity Total Return Index ETN (RJI).  E/R: 0.75%.  This is an Exchange Traded Note (ETN).  An ETN is similar to an ETF (for more information on ETFs, see here) in that it attempts to track an index and is traded on an exchange.  HOWEVER, it is a bond which is backed only by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which in this case is Swedish Export Credit Corporation.  As such, we judge that it has unacceptable credit risk, regardless of the financial soundness of the issuer (i.e., the credit risk, however small, is unacceptably high given that it is totally undiversified).  This ETN became even less attractive when they halted issuing of new shares, as discussed here.
 
bulletOppenheimer Real Asset Fund A (QRAAX).  E/R: 1.23%.  This fund follows a similar strategy as PCRIX above, but it does NOT index the commodities portion of its investment and it invests its cash in conventional very short-term bonds.  With the availability of the above less expensive alternatives, we see no reason to consider this fund.  If you did consider this fund, only buy it if you can get the load waived.
 
bulletMerrill Lynch Real Investment Fund I (MACDX).  E/R: 1.32%.  This fund follows a similar strategy as PCRIX above, but it does NOT index the commodities portion of its investment and it invests its cash in conventional bonds of any maturity.  With the availability of the above less expensive alternatives, we see no reason to consider this fund.  If you did consider this fund, only buy it if you can get the load waived.

Taxable Accounts

You generally should not hold commodities futures in a taxable account.  The asset class is very tax-inefficient.  However, if you did, our preference would be nearly the same as for a retirement account.  The only difference would be slightly more preference for DBC, because of its expected perfect capital gains tax efficiency as an ETF (and because the gains from its futures contracts are treated as being 60% long-term capital gains).

 

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